Trucking Update: Navigating the Freight Market Dynamics – December 14 Edition

Trucking Update: Navigating the Freight Market Dynamics - December 14 Edition
Trucking Update: Navigating the Freight Market Dynamics – December 14 Edition

In the ever-evolving landscape of the trucking industry, staying informed about the latest trends and market shifts is crucial for success. Our latest update from Trucking Made Successful brings insights into the recent changes in truck capacity, rejection rates, diesel pricing, spot market volumes, and more. Let’s dive into the key highlights to help you chart your course in the freight market.

Carrier Numbers and Rejection Rates

The trucking community faced another setback as 360 carrier nets were lost, maintaining a stagnant carrier count since the beginning. Despite a historically low rejection rate at 3.76%, there’s a slight uptick of 3.73% from the previous week. While this rate is lower than the last five years, the recent increase warrants attention.

Trucking Authorities
The trucking community experiences a loss of 360 carrier nets, maintaining a stagnant count since the beginning.

Rejection rate sits at 3.76%, lower than the past 5 years, but with a 3.73% increase from last week.

Diesel Pricing and Regional Trends

Diesel prices experienced a decline from $4.19 to $4.10 per gallon this week. The map indicates unfavorable refueling conditions on the West Coast and the Northeast. Truckers should plan strategically to optimize fuel costs and efficiency.

Refueling is not recommended in any West Coast or Northeast locations based on the map analysis.

Spot Market Volumes

Spot market dynamics have recently shown shifts in volume across various trailer categories:

Dry Van trailer volume has declined, while Reefers, designed for temperature-sensitive cargo, and Flatbeds, commonly used for oversized or unconventional loads, also experienced decreases in spot market volume. 📉

The volume for Dry Van trailers has decreased.

Reefers, designed for temperature-sensitive cargo, have experienced a decline in spot market volume.

Similarly, Flatbeds, commonly used for oversized or unconventional cargo, also saw a decrease in spot market volume.

This indicates a fluid and changing landscape in the spot market, with adjustments in demand and supply for different trailer types.

Spot Rates

Spot rates reflect fluctuations as well:

Dry Van: Decrease to $1.99 per mile, down by $.7 from last week

Reefers: Drop from $2.25 per mile

Flatbeds: No change, maintaining a steady five-year pattern

Volume Volatility

Notable volume increases were observed in New Mexico, Arkansas, parts of Memphis, TN, Wisconsin, Maine, and Upstate New York. Conversely, decreases occurred in Idaho, Pendleton Oregon, North Dakota, Illinois, and Vermont.

This map shows where there is increase and decrease on volume.

Rejection Dynamics

The rejection landscape experienced significant changes, with notable decreases in the Pacific Northwest, Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, California, Virginia, and Iowa. Conversely, increases were observed in Arkansas, parts of Houston Texas, Atlanta, Georgia, South Carolina, Connecticut, Upstate New York, Pittsburgh, Nevada, Utah, and parts of Wyoming.

This map shows where there is increase and decrease on rejections.

Head Haul Maps

Analyzing head haul maps is crucial for understanding market conditions. Blue indicates more loads than trucks, while red signals overcapacity. The data reveals varying patterns across different trailer types: Dry Vans, Reefers, and Flatbeds.

Dry Van

For Dry Van and Reefer, more loads than trucks. Red means over capacity.

Reefer

For Dry Van and Reefer, more loads than trucks. Red means over capacity.

Flatbeds

This is from DAT map, which gives more accurate data. Meanwhile, this is on the opposite from the other two which blue means over capacity and red means more trucks.

Where to Go – Strategic Insights

To navigate the freight market successfully, matching areas with dark blue on both rejection and volume maps is key. Specific insights for different trailer types include:

Reefers

Twinfalls, Idaho: 22.7% rejection, Volume Index 34%
Southern California: 8% rejection, Volume Index 54%

Dry Vans

Grand Rapids, MI: Rejection 11.27%, Volume Index 113%
Green Bay, WI: Rejection rate of 14.5%, Volume Index 71%
Rock Island, IL: 11% rejection, 65% Volume Index

Market Trajectory and Considerations

As the market trajectory reveals increased truck presence and rising rejection rates, Reefers faces challenges due to overcapacity. Trucking Made Successful notes disappointment in Reefers’ performance, leading to their decision to cease operating in this segment.

In conclusion, staying abreast of market dynamics is pivotal for making informed decisions in the trucking industry. Analyzing rejection rates, regional trends, and volume volatility will empower truckers to navigate the complexities of the freight market successfully. As the year comes to a close, strategic planning based on these insights becomes even more critical. Safe and prosperous hauling!

Trucking Update December 14: Still A Trucking Bloodbath, Still Bouncing At The Bottom

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Dominik Kunigk

Managing Broker & President

Dominik was a German exchange student in high school before graduating from the University of Washington in Business Administration – Information Systems and Retail Management. His insurance career started in 2008 when he decided leave his retail management career behind to start his own business. His American Family Insurance agency quickly grew to service 700 clients and families. While the idea of becoming an independent broker started in 2010, a horrific car accident put that plan on hold. In 2014, Dominik and his wife Michele changed from a captive agency to become the independent agency that you see today.

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